DIYWallST June 2025 Recession Proof Dividend Picks
Recession Proof Investing, DIYWallST, Stock Picks, Investment Newsletter, Investing, $CIVI, $MMM
📩 Welcome to the DIYWallST Dividend Investing Newsletter!
Inside, you'll find an attached spreadsheet with key insights, including ideal buy and sell areas for dividend stocks and strategic market insights.
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The stock market has consistently built wealth over time. While there are ups and downs, long-term investors benefit from market growth. Investing isn’t just about chasing price moves—it’s about owning a piece of strong companies and growing with them.
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📊 What’s Inside This Edition?
Each month, we feature:
✔ 1 High-Growth Stock for future potential
✔ 3 Reliable Dividend Stocks for stability & income
This balanced approach offers growth opportunities while ensuring you have a safety net of steady returns.
Market Insights & Rebalance This Month
Rebalance Highlights From May to June:
The narrative has shifted again—from canceling tariffs to reinstating 50% duties on key imports, including steel, under the guise of the “America First” agenda. This move aligns with what I understand of Scott Bessent’s strategy: prop up U.S. industries by limiting outside competition. It’s a double-edged sword—great for domestic corporations but painful for consumers as inflation eats into paychecks. All the more reason to put your money to work in the market rather than letting it lose value on the sidelines.
We’re staying focused on companies built to thrive amid inflationary pressures, recession-resilience themes, and ongoing protectionist policies. By rotating into these names, we lean into environments where “America First” winners can outperform while protecting our portfolio from broad economic headwinds.
Portfolio Changes from May to June:
✅ Added: HAL (Halliburton) – positioned to benefit from higher oil and energy service demand under inflationary conditions.
❌ Sold: TEM – up over 30%, so we’re locking in profits rather than letting the position run.
This rebalance reflects our commitment to adjusting quickly as policy shifts impact sectors differently, ensuring we capture gains and reallocate into names with stronger long-term tailwinds.
June Meetings 2025 Picks Sector Recent Price Buy Zone Target 30% Optional Trailing Stop 30% Dividend % payout Next Dividend Month ASAN Technology $18.38 $17.00 $22.10 $11.90 N/A (Growth Pick( N/A (Growth Pick) NTR Agricultural $60.22 $54.25 $70.53 $37.98 3.62 July CIVI Oil & Gas Exploration & Production $27.60 $24.00 $31.20 $16.80 7.25% June MMM Industrial Conglomerate $146.40 $128.00 $166.40 $89.60 1.99% September
Civitas Resources, Inc. (CIVI) is a leading oil and gas producer operating in the DJ and Permian Basins, committed to disciplined capital deployment, strong free cash flow, and generous shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks.
💰 Buy Zone: $24.00 🎯 Target: $31.20🛑 Stop: $16.80🪙 Dividend: 7.25%
HIGHLIGHTS:
Strong Q1 2025 Output: Total production averaged ~325,000 BOE/d, with 66% oil-weighted volumes. The company beat guidance on production and costs while maintaining capital discipline.
Robust Free Cash Flow: Generated $238M in free cash flow, enabling shareholder returns of $195M through $100M in buybacks and $95M in dividends (base + variable).
Capital Efficiency: Q1 capital expenditures came in at $400M, with full-year guidance of $1.6B–$1.8B focused on the Permian. Operating margins remained strong despite service cost inflation.
Balance Sheet Strength: Net debt/EBITDAX sits at ~1.0x, with $2.1B in total liquidity, providing flexibility for opportunistic capital deployment and return of capital.
Shareholder Alignment: Civitas remains committed to returning 50%+ of FCF to shareholders, underscoring its focus on sustainable returns and capital stewardship.
3M Company (MMM) is a diversified global industrial conglomerate, known for science-driven innovation in health care, electronics, automotive, consumer products, and workplace safety.
💰 Buy Zone: $128.00 🎯 Target: $166.40 🛑 Stop: $89.60 🪙 Dividend: 1.99%
HIGHLIGHTS:
Spin-Off Completion: Finalized the spin-off of its health care business, Solventum, streamlining 3M’s core operations and sharpening its focus on industrial, consumer, and electronics segments.
Q1 2025 Financial Performance: Revenue totaled $8.0B, with adjusted EPS of $2.39, driven by strength in automotive and personal safety businesses.
Margin Recovery: Adjusted operating margin expanded to 22.5%, up from prior quarters, reflecting benefits from supply chain restructuring, cost control, and mix improvements.
Cost Discipline & Restructuring: Achieved over $1B in gross savings since 2023 through headcount optimization and business simplification efforts across global operations.
Raised Full-Year Outlook: FY25 adjusted EPS guidance increased to $9.75–$10.25, with expected free cash flow of $4.5–$5.0B, reinforcing 3M’s return to earnings stability and capital strength.
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